I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
Allen Fieldhouse · December 12, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread KU -25.0 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money KU -7000 / OMA +2000
Model Predictions
Spread Total KU win
Actual KU +45 145 Won
Massey KU -13.0 (+32.0) — —
Massey Totals — 143.7 (+1.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 94% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KU -12.2 (+32.8) 144.9 (+0.1) 86% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KU -9.5 (+35.5) 142.8 (+2.2) 83% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KU -10.0 (+35.0) 143.6 (+1.4) 83% ✓
Baseline ML KU -10.8 (+34.2) 143.2 (+1.8) 85% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 8, 2022 KU 89 – 64 OMA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KU OMA
Overall 21-9 5-20
Conference 12-6 3-11
Home 14-1 1-5
Away 4-6 3-12
Neutral 3-2 1-3
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.1 67.3
Avg Pts Against 65.2 78.0
Massey 2.6 (#109) -4.1 (#219)
Bradley-Terry 1.51 (#58) -0.07 (#163)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.96 (#66) -0.34 (#173)
RPI 0.571 (#69) 0.488 (#166)
Shooting & Four Factors KU OMA
FG% 42.1% 40.1%
3PT% 37.5% 28.0%
REB / G 41.2 35.8
OREB / G 13.0 9.3
AST / TO 0.95 0.53
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.7% 43.8%
TOV% 17.2% 22.8%
ORB% 32.7% 25.5%
FT Rate 25.2% 22.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.3% 51.7%
Opp TOV% 19.2% 19.0%
DRB% 77.9% 75.7%
Opp FT Rate 19.5% 22.7%

Game Analysis

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