Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | EIU -1000 WIU +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +4 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -13.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (+39.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -9.8 (-5.8) | 141.9 (+38.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -8.4 (-4.4) | 142.1 (+37.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -10.2 (-6.2) | 146.4 (+33.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -9.8 (-5.8) | 142.2 (+37.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | WIU 79 – 70 EIU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | EIU 57 – 55 WIU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | EIU 71 – 59 WIU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WIU 75 – 67 EIU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WIU 70 – 66 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-18 | 7-15 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 5-9 |
| Home | 5-7 | 2-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 80.5 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#199) | -10.2 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#222) | -2.52 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#230) | -3.53 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#229) | 0.329 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 35.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 40.4% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 9.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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