Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Over |
| Money | CSUB -1100 IDHO +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +10 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | CSUB -5.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (+13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -4.0 (+6.0) | 127.8 (+14.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -3.5 (+6.5) | 131.5 (+10.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -4.3 (+5.7) | 131.2 (+10.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -3.7 (+6.3) | 126.5 (+15.5) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2025 | CSUB 64 – 63 IDHO |
| Nov 17, 2022 | CSUB 52 – 43 IDHO |
| Dec 12, 2021 | CSUB 59 – 58 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-11 | 1-21 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 1-17 |
| Home | 9-2 | 1-9 |
| Away | 6-8 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 61.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#213) | -3.2 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#204) | -1.02 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#203) | -1.37 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#121) | 0.521 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.2% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 22.7% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.6% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 20.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.3% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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