North Dakota State
Bison
53
–
52
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Dakota Showcase
North Dakota
Fighting Hawks
Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | NDSU -240 UND +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +1 | 105 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -1.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (-24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -0.7 (+1.7) | 131.6 (-26.6) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -0.8 (+1.8) | 130.2 (-25.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -0.8 (+1.8) | 132.7 (-27.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UND -0.4 (+1.4) | 131.9 (-26.9) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NDSU 70 – 62 UND |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NDSU 96 – 63 UND |
| Feb 14, 2026 | NDSU 83 – 66 UND |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UND 79 – 77 NDSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NDSU 87 – 82 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 9-17 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 8-8 |
| Home | 6-2 | 5-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#183) | -3.0 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#289) | -1.11 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.01 (#294) | -1.89 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#215) | 0.417 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.9% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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