Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | TULN -4000 UAPB +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +11 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -22.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -16.1 (-5.1) | 136.8 (-13.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -14.9 (-3.9) | 138.2 (-15.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -18.4 (-7.4) | 136.9 (-13.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -18.0 (-7.0) | 137.8 (-14.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-13 | 4-21 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 3-12 |
| Home | 6-6 | 2-3 |
| Away | 3-6 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 62.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#188) | -18.1 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#69) | -1.47 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#91) | -2.84 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#114) | 0.429 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 34.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 38.8% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.4% | 60.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.