Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | DEL +100 GW -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -5.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -3.6 (-0.6) | 145.4 (-12.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -3.2 (-0.2) | 145.0 (-12.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -4.1 (-1.1) | 144.7 (-11.7) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2025 | DEL 70 – 58 GW |
| Nov 26, 2023 | GW 81 – 71 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-8 | 5-12 |
| Conference | 5-4 | 3-5 |
| Home | 6-3 | 3-6 |
| Away | 1-4 | 1-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#171) | -0.4 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#192) | -1.19 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#181) | -1.39 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#235) | 0.351 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.0% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 26.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 26.0 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 14.7% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.7% | 13.0% |
Game Analysis
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