Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | GW -3600 DEL +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +12 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | GW -25.9 (-37.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.4 (-35.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -21.0 (-33.0) | 152.3 (-24.3) | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -21.4 (-33.4) | 153.0 (-25.0) | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GW -23.3 (-35.3) | 153.4 (-25.4) | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -23.8 (-35.8) | 152.6 (-24.6) | 90% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2023 | GW 81 – 71 DEL |
| Dec 12, 2020 | DEL 68 – 65 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-14 |
| Home | 12-4 | 5-10 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#36) | -8.1 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#66) | -1.93 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.86 (#53) | -2.62 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#69) | 0.393 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.2% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 36.8% | 14.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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