Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +27 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -15.9 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -10.5 (+16.5) | 138.6 (+14.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -11.4 (+15.6) | 137.0 (+16.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -11.2 (+15.8) | 139.0 (+14.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -11.4 (+15.6) | 138.9 (+14.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | COFC 88 – 61 SCST |
| Nov 12, 2021 | COFC 106 – 74 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-5 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#270) | -18.4 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#286) | -3.15 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.38 (#284) | -4.56 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#226) | 0.340 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 33.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 24.8% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 38.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 13.1% | 8.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 63.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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