Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | COFC -4000 SCST +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +27 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -16.9 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -8.9 (+18.1) | 143.3 (+5.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -11.6 (+15.4) | 139.9 (+9.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -12.9 (+14.1) | 137.4 (+11.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -9.1 (+17.9) | 143.5 (+5.5) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2021 | COFC 106 – 74 SCST |
| Dec 12, 2020 | COFC 90 – 63 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-7 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-5 |
| Away | 8-4 | 3-16 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#292) | -13.9 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#305) | -0.89 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#309) | -1.28 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#172) | 0.347 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 34.9% |
| 3PT% | 41.9% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 39.3% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 26.6% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.0% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 9.3% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 60.0% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 41.8% |
Game Analysis
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