Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -125 UTAH +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +18 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -5.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -4.8 (+13.2) | 142.3 (+3.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -3.7 (+14.3) | 139.6 (+6.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -5.3 (+12.7) | 142.1 (+3.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -5.6 (+12.4) | 143.6 (+2.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | BYU 91 – 78 UTAH |
| Jan 11, 2026 | BYU 89 – 84 UTAH |
| Mar 9, 2025 | BYU 85 – 74 UTAH |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UTAH 73 – 72 BYU |
| Dec 10, 2023 | UTAH 73 – 69 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-7 | 12-13 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 8-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-2 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#129) | 2.5 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#97) | 0.96 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#85) | 1.58 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#170) | 0.499 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 2.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 40.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 57.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 14.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.