Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +10 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | RID -5.7 (+15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -5.5 (+15.5) | 144.1 (+19.9) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -4.2 (+14.2) | 145.5 (+18.5) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RID -6.1 (+16.1) | 144.4 (+19.6) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | MAN 95 – 90 RID |
| Dec 30, 2025 | MAN 74 – 71 RID |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MAN 80 – 79 RID |
| Feb 18, 2024 | RID 104 – 62 MAN |
| Jan 13, 2024 | RID 71 – 58 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-13 | 6-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 4-6 | 1-8 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#294) | -0.1 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#287) | 0.13 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.66 (#290) | 0.11 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.167 (#306) | 0.562 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.4% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 54.8% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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