Betting Lines
| Spread | DEN -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | DEN -150 UTU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +3 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | UTU -0.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -0.9 (-2.1) | 146.9 (-3.9) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTU -0.8 (-2.2) | 145.8 (-2.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -1.3 (-1.7) | 146.0 (-3.0) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2024 | UTU 68 – 54 DEN |
| Dec 12, 2021 | UTU 82 – 62 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEN | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-19 | 8-13 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 4-10 |
| Home | 2-10 | 5-7 |
| Away | 0-9 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#284) | -4.2 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#265) | 0.53 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.84 (#268) | 0.25 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#250) | 0.510 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEN | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 10.0% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 24.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.4% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 24.7% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.0% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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