Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -26.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +31 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | OU -13.8 (+17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.3 (-27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -12.1 (+18.9) | 152.1 (-13.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -9.8 (+21.2) | 145.1 (-6.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -15.7 (+15.3) | 151.8 (-12.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -14.5 (+16.5) | 154.6 (-15.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#75) | -2.0 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#30) | -1.48 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#48) | -2.43 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#46) | 0.347 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 40.3% | 23.4% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 28.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.0% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 24.7% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 59.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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