Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
| Money | TENN -330 CIN +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +9 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -10.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -8.0 (+1.0) | 130.1 (-9.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -5.7 (+3.3) | 129.1 (-8.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -7.7 (+1.3) | 126.3 (-5.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 8-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 5-5 |
| Away | 4-4 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.5 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#77) | 1.6 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#80) | 0.77 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#83) | 1.19 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.792 (#7) | 0.634 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.8% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 23.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.5% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 24.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.8% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 35.0% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 89.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 37.8% |
Game Analysis
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