Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
| Money | FAIR +155 IONA -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +28 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -3.1 (-24.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-38.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -2.9 (-25.1) | 146.0 (-34.0) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -6.3 (-21.7) | 138.5 (-26.5) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -5.3 (-22.7) | 145.1 (-33.1) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -3.1 (-24.9) | 146.5 (-34.5) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | FAIR 71 – 70 IONA |
| Feb 2, 2025 | IONA 87 – 64 FAIR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | FAIR 68 – 64 IONA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | FAIR 68 – 63 IONA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | IONA 91 – 82 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-17 | 12-6 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-3 |
| Home | 4-8 | 4-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -13.1 (#298) | -3.6 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.62 (#295) | -0.68 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.90 (#292) | -1.21 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.264 (#302) | 0.422 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 26.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.44 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.2% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 24.6% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.4% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 39.1% |
Game Analysis
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