I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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42–8 on winners spread MAE 8.5 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Vanderbilt @ Memphis -6.9 156.9 28% 77–70 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Green Bay -0.5 147.4 51% 64–67 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville State +2.3 135.6 62% 62–59 ✗
UAlbany @ Stony Brook +10.3 145.6 86% 71–55 ✗
The Citadel @ Charleston +15.7 138.4 88% 78–82 ✓
Mercer @ UCF +15.1 155.8 86% 63–81 ✓
Jacksonville @ Florida A&M -0.7 142.0 42% 65–72 ✗
Chattanooga @ Bellarmine +1.1 140.6 48% 64–79 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Wagner +8.3 137.3 80% 64–78 ✓
Siena @ Vermont +0.9 133.9 54% 69–83 ✓
Presbyterian @ East Carolina +0.9 130.7 48% 53–74 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Monmouth +0.4 148.2 49% 85–75 ✗
Alabama State @ Cincinnati +15.4 144.8 88% 51–88 ✓
Youngstown State @ Robert Morris +2.8 137.4 63% 77–80 ✓
Oakland @ Northern Kentucky +2.5 156.9 64% 82–77 ✗
Longwood @ Wake Forest +24.5 155.6 90% 68–71 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Syracuse +17.8 131.3 89% 62–76 ✓
Binghamton @ Pittsburgh +20.7 131.9 90% 63–103 ✓
Texas Southern @ NC State +24.3 159.8 91% 72–108 ✓
Richmond @ Elon +1.9 158.1 55% 70–73 ✓
Wofford @ Wichita State +12.4 138.0 85% 73–84 ✓
Cleveland State @ UAB +17.1 150.6 90% 77–101 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Tulane +0.6 134.6 54% 53–61 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Middle Tennessee +7.3 159.9 79% 67–68 ✓
Houston Christian @ Nicholls +3.7 138.1 67% 64–79 ✓
South Alabama @ UL Monroe -8.2 146.5 24% 96–92 ✓
South Florida @ Alabama +15.7 171.1 87% 93–104 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Ole Miss +14.9 132.3 87% 66–80 ✓
Weber State @ Utah Valley +15.0 146.6 89% 74–90 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Saint Louis +21.2 150.1 90% 53–112 ✓
James Madison @ Old Dominion +1.4 146.9 60% 68–77 ✓
Georgetown @ Marquette +4.6 149.0 75% 78–69 ✗
Arkansas State @ Texas State -3.6 146.7 31% 89–70 ✓
Campbell @ Gonzaga +27.8 155.5 91% 70–98 ✓
UTSA @ USC +21.6 148.5 91% 70–97 ✓
Seattle U @ UC Davis -1.1 141.1 48% 79–78 ✓
North Texas @ Santa Clara +11.5 131.0 83% 60–63 ✓
Portland State @ Colorado +14.8 149.9 87% 73–84 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Stephen F. Austin +9.2 136.6 81% 60–69 ✓
Sam Houston @ Oregon State -2.7 149.1 47% 85–75 ✓
Washington State @ Eastern Washington -2.3 147.5 30% 78–63 ✓
Air Force @ San Diego State +19.3 140.3 90% 58–81 ✓
UT Arlington @ Stanford +10.5 136.2 83% 60–76 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ San Francisco +14.1 139.3 88% 71–85 ✓
Arizona State @ UCLA +7.2 143.7 77% 77–90 ✓
Portland @ Oregon +15.5 146.5 88% 69–94 ✓
North Florida @ Charleston Southern +9.8 154.6 85% 90–113 ✓
Hampton @ Jackson State -9.3 132.7 17% 84–77 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ App State +3.3 137.3 67% 49–67 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Eastern Illinois -3.4 135.9 30% 72–76 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.