Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -2400 PRST +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +11 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -15.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -14.8 (-3.8) | 149.9 (+7.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -14.5 (-3.5) | 149.8 (+7.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -14.5 (-3.5) | 150.8 (+6.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -14.6 (-3.6) | 150.6 (+6.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.2 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#69) | -1.5 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#35) | -0.22 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.84 (#28) | -0.24 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.617 (#32) | 0.479 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.8% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 40.8% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.84 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 34.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.