Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -36.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +28 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -38.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -27.8 (+0.2) | 155.5 (+12.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -26.4 (+1.6) | 153.4 (+14.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -34.5 (-6.5) | 153.0 (+15.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -35.1 (-7.1) | 155.2 (+12.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-0 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-2 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.3 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 27.9 (#2) | -6.3 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.54 (#8) | -0.04 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.70 (#8) | -0.10 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.651 (#13) | 0.509 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.0% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.92 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 33.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.