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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–5 on winners spread MAE 8.6 34 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Louisville @ Tennessee +1.3 157.0 59% 62–83 ✓
DePaul @ St. John's +17.7 146.2 90% 66–79 ✓
Belmont @ Evansville -11.2 145.1 18% 83–78 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ UNC Greensboro +4.7 146.8 78% 71–65 ✗
Tarleton State @ Mississippi Valley State -9.4 148.4 16% 88–64 ✓
Kansas City @ Oklahoma +25.2 147.2 90% 67–89 ✓
Rider @ Delaware +10.4 133.1 86% 57–65 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Wright State +0.9 147.5 55% 83–76 ✗
Chicago State @ Bowling Green +19.9 147.3 91% 55–76 ✓
Florida State @ Dayton +7.6 161.6 79% 69–97 ✓
Canisius @ Rhode Island +18.4 132.4 90% 45–62 ✓
South Carolina @ Clemson +13.0 143.7 86% 61–68 ✓
Florida International @ Miami +19.5 156.8 90% 81–98 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Lamar +2.8 133.0 61% 83–72 ✗
Marist @ Georgia Tech +3.3 136.2 59% 76–87 ✓
Long Island University @ Mississippi State +12.4 154.5 86% 83–87 ✓
Little Rock @ Morehead State +6.5 134.3 78% 64–78 ✓
East Tennessee State @ North Carolina +14.7 147.7 84% 58–77 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Texas Tech +15.6 154.3 87% 90–101 ✓
Le Moyne @ Texas +22.6 152.5 91% 53–95 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Missouri State +3.1 140.9 76% 62–63 ✓
Valparaiso @ Northwestern +16.6 143.5 88% 70–86 ✓
Butler @ UConn +11.3 145.9 83% 60–79 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Arizona +26.1 139.1 91% 62–96 ✓
Pacific @ BYU +20.5 140.7 90% 57–93 ✓
Queens University @ Arkansas +23.6 161.7 90% 80–108 ✓
Towson @ Kansas +15.7 135.0 89% 49–73 ✓
Montana State @ Cal Poly +1.0 146.3 62% 83–80 ✗
Southern @ California Baptist +11.6 154.3 87% 67–75 ✓
UC San Diego @ Loyola Marymount -1.5 143.0 44% 67–57 ✓
Northern Iowa @ UIC -4.0 132.8 37% 60–54 ✓
Stonehill @ New Hampshire +2.8 137.6 52% 58–59 ✓
Saint Francis @ Florida +27.9 149.6 91% 61–102 ✓
Creighton @ Xavier +4.8 147.9 74% 98–57 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.