Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MSST -1600 LIU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +4 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | MSST -10.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -8.4 (-4.4) | 151.5 (+18.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MSST -12.4 (-8.4) | 154.5 (+15.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | MSST -8.3 (-4.3) | 150.4 (+19.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -8.8 (-4.8) | 151.6 (+18.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-8 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#126) | -3.0 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#131) | 0.19 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#135) | 0.02 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#106) | 0.510 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 61.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.