Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -25.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -5000 UNCO +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +11 | 191 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -16.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (+34.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -15.6 (-4.6) | 154.3 (+36.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -15.1 (-4.1) | 150.1 (+40.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -16.3 (-5.3) | 151.3 (+39.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -16.5 (-5.5) | 154.2 (+36.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2024 | TTU 89 – 64 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 15.5 (#27) | 3.2 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#30) | 1.64 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.15 (#24) | 2.57 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.648 (#12) | 0.554 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 37.2% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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