Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UNH -180 STO +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +1 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -5.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -2.8 (-1.8) | 137.6 (-20.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -3.7 (-2.7) | 134.5 (-17.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -4.8 (-3.8) | 135.6 (-18.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -5.6 (-4.6) | 136.9 (-19.9) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | STO 90 – 83 UNH |
| Dec 12, 2023 | UNH 75 – 62 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-16 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -10.5 (#314) | -11.7 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.52 (#337) | -3.65 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.08 (#344) | -5.27 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#333) | 0.357 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 11.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 12.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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