Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
| Money | UNH -1400 STO +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -22.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (-18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -14.7 (-1.7) | 153.3 (-16.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -15.5 (-2.5) | 149.5 (-12.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -17.1 (-4.1) | 150.8 (-13.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -16.9 (-3.9) | 152.1 (-15.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2025 | UNH 59 – 58 STO |
| Dec 22, 2024 | STO 90 – 83 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 2-14 |
| Home | 9-5 | 4-8 |
| Away | 7-10 | 0-19 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#162) | -16.9 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#117) | -3.02 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#150) | -4.06 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#107) | 0.388 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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