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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
9–4 on winners
spread MAE 7.7
13 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wofford
@
Gardner-Webb
|
-9.3 | 146.2 | 22% | 83–57 | ✓ |
Niagara
@
VCU
|
+26.6 | 139.5 | 91% | 58–84 | ✓ |
East Texas A&M
@
SE Louisiana
|
+3.1 | 138.9 | 64% | 70–69 | ✗ |
Wyoming
@
South Dakota State
|
-5.5 | 139.8 | 31% | 87–72 | ✓ |
North Alabama
@
Alabama A&M
|
-0.1 | 136.1 | 38% | 60–68 | ✗ |
McNeese
@
Houston Christian
|
-10.8 | 139.1 | 13% | 78–68 | ✓ |
Incarnate Word
@
TCU
|
+16.5 | 146.0 | 89% | 65–69 | ✓ |
Howard
@
Drexel
|
+5.4 | 136.1 | 68% | 74–66 | ✗ |
Lipscomb
@
Duke
|
+21.4 | 151.8 | 89% | 73–97 | ✓ |
South Carolina Upstate
@
South Carolina State
|
-6.1 | 143.7 | 25% | 78–72 | ✓ |
Sacred Heart
@
UMass Lowell
|
+0.6 | 147.4 | 55% | 82–87 | ✓ |
Dartmouth
@
Holy Cross
|
+1.0 | 140.5 | 54% | 89–64 | ✗ |
Toledo
@
Michigan State
|
+21.7 | 140.8 | 90% | 69–92 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.