Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -192 LOU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +21 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | LOU -1.9 (+22.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -0.3 (+20.7) | 155.5 (-10.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | TENN -1.3 (+19.7) | 157.0 (-12.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | LOU -0.3 (+21.3) | 152.8 (-7.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -0.7 (+20.3) | 154.2 (-9.2) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | TENN 77 – 55 LOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 84.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 15.5 (#28) | 21.9 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#58) | 2.74 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.82 (#53) | 4.12 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#49) | 0.608 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 43.3 | 42.6 |
| OREB / G | 15.6 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 58.3% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 45.5% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 32.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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