Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | GB +250 UCSB -310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | GB -0.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (-24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -0.5 (+3.5) | 147.4 (-16.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -2.0 (+1.0) | 148.1 (-17.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GB -1.5 (+1.5) | 150.1 (-19.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -1.7 (+1.3) | 147.8 (-16.8) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | UCSB 83 – 66 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#233) | -0.3 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#202) | 0.41 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#189) | 0.55 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#144) | 0.511 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 33.8% | 35.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 34.6% |
Game Analysis
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