Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | UCSB -1600 GB +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +17 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -17.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -14.1 (+2.9) | 150.2 (-1.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -14.5 (+2.5) | 149.2 (-0.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -15.5 (+1.5) | 149.1 (-0.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -16.0 (+1.0) | 147.3 (+1.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | GB 67 – 64 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 2-18 |
| Home | 12-5 | 3-11 |
| Away | 7-7 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#108) | -9.7 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#179) | -2.23 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#185) | -2.44 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#259) | 0.380 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 5.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 17.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.