Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +3 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -29.2 (-26.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.6 (-27.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -24.5 (-21.5) | 155.6 (-16.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -24.1 (-21.1) | 154.7 (-15.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -26.3 (-23.3) | 156.2 (-17.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -26.7 (-23.7) | 156.8 (-17.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2020 | WAKE 71 – 60 LONG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-8 |
| Home | 13-7 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#34) | -11.7 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#81) | -2.00 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#79) | -2.26 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#77) | 0.393 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 39.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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