Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | WICH -900 WOF +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +11 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -16.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -12.4 (-1.4) | 138.0 (+19.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -12.2 (-1.2) | 137.3 (+19.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -11.7 (-0.7) | 137.5 (+19.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -12.8 (-1.8) | 138.7 (+18.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-5 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 78.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#82) | -4.1 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#168) | 0.02 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#140) | -0.49 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#148) | 0.491 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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