Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -850 UNT +575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +3 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -11.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -11.5 (-8.5) | 131.0 (-8.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -9.5 (-6.5) | 134.1 (-11.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -9.6 (-6.6) | 135.0 (-12.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -9.9 (-6.9) | 133.9 (-10.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-5 |
| Away | 8-3 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-5 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#59) | -1.6 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#55) | 0.45 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.10 (#47) | 0.18 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#27) | 0.499 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 15.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 40.6% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 34.6% |
Game Analysis
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