Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | MTSU -175 KENN +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +1 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -9.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.2 (-35.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -7.3 (-6.3) | 159.9 (-24.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -6.3 (-5.3) | 160.4 (-25.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -6.8 (-5.8) | 155.8 (-20.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -6.5 (-5.5) | 159.6 (-24.6) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | MTSU 90 – 87 KENN |
| Feb 8, 2025 | MTSU 76 – 75 KENN |
| Jan 10, 2025 | MTSU 84 – 79 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MTSU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 78.2 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#133) | -2.2 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#124) | 0.05 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#120) | -0.34 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#52) | 0.437 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MTSU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 43.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 36.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 43.3% |
Game Analysis
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