Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -34.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +36 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -35.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -33.2 (+2.8) | 156.1 (+23.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | NCSU -24.3 (+11.7) | 159.8 (+20.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | NCSU -25.2 (+10.8) | 156.3 (+23.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -32.8 (+3.2) | 156.4 (+23.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2021 | NCSU 65 – 57 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 80.0 |
| Massey | 16.2 (#24) | -14.7 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#67) | -2.93 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#49) | -3.99 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#83) | 0.436 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 58.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 36.5% |
Game Analysis
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