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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
36–14 on winners
spread MAE 9.5
50 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+4.1 | 139.3 | 73% | 66–69 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.8 | 158.2 | 46% | 83–69 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.3 | 142.1 | 31% | 74–83 | ✗ |
|
|
+4.3 | 129.7 | 70% | 70–83 | ✓ |
|
|
-8.1 | 148.8 | 21% | 85–57 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.9 | 160.5 | 73% | 75–100 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.3 | 139.8 | 55% | 70–84 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.8 | 139.4 | 66% | 88–90 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.4 | 137.5 | 82% | 63–90 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.8 | 143.1 | 84% | 73–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.8 | 152.5 | 70% | 76–72 | ✗ |
|
|
-7.7 | 132.5 | 22% | 71–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.5 | 143.1 | 72% | 68–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.3 | 150.9 | 63% | 95–78 | ✗ |
|
|
-1.1 | 129.5 | 49% | 60–65 | ✗ |
|
|
+10.4 | 146.3 | 84% | 77–73 | ✗ |
|
|
+11.0 | 133.7 | 83% | 59–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.3 | 137.8 | 64% | 69–48 | ✗ |
|
|
-11.5 | 146.2 | 16% | 64–59 | ✓ |
|
|
-8.2 | 136.6 | 22% | 70–65 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.7 | 128.0 | 27% | 65–61 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.9 | 139.6 | 57% | 53–66 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.1 | 141.0 | 34% | 97–88 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.5 | 155.1 | 84% | 74–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.0 | 132.3 | 79% | 61–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.6 | 153.1 | 81% | 69–85 | ✓ |
|
|
-13.7 | 135.7 | 15% | 68–57 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.6 | 150.2 | 73% | 77–94 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.4 | 143.3 | 81% | 62–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.1 | 130.6 | 67% | 76–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.3 | 145.6 | 73% | 83–77 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.9 | 157.9 | 72% | 69–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.8 | 154.0 | 74% | 83–68 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.3 | 151.9 | 74% | 53–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.0 | 141.6 | 67% | 67–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.3 | 137.8 | 64% | 62–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.6 | 145.3 | 74% | 65–76 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.8 | 135.5 | 27% | 61–66 | ✗ |
|
|
-1.3 | 153.5 | 42% | 68–85 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.7 | 143.4 | 85% | 73–63 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.0 | 119.5 | 71% | 48–63 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.7 | 155.3 | 55% | 100–78 | ✗ |
|
|
-6.2 | 148.0 | 23% | 80–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.4 | 146.4 | 55% | 80–77 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.0 | 149.5 | 59% | 83–80 | ✗ |
|
|
+8.2 | 134.4 | 79% | 65–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.2 | 133.3 | 80% | 48–62 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.7 | 142.7 | 38% | 74–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.3 | 141.1 | 85% | 65–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.4 | 142.7 | 82% | 52–76 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.