He took it all too far, but boy could he play guitar. "Ziggy Stardust" - David Bowie
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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16–2 on winners spread MAE 10.6 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wright State @ Purdue — — — 52–96 —
Gardner-Webb @ Duke +16.4 142.5 89% 52–92 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Kentucky +21.7 138.3 90% 55–80 ✓
Colgate @ Cornell +8.0 146.4 82% 68–78 ✓
Austin Peay @ Purdue Fort Wayne — — — 60–65 —
Winthrop @ Middle Tennessee — — — 65–76 —
Tennessee Tech @ Chattanooga — — — 62–69 —
William & Mary @ Norfolk State — — — 74–91 —
Hampton @ Towson — — — 54–78 —
Boston University @ Northeastern — — — 48–49 —
James Madison @ Eastern Kentucky — — — 79–78 —
Creighton @ Nebraska — — — 77–69 —
South Carolina State @ Georgia +15.3 145.8 88% 60–76 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Cincinnati +12.6 142.0 86% 66–89 ✓
Georgia State @ Richmond — — — 78–94 —
Lafayette @ Pennsylvania +6.1 151.1 79% 57–85 ✓
NJIT @ Rutgers +9.4 130.8 83% 61–75 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Pittsburgh — — — 51–59 —
Jacksonville @ UCF — — — 54–63 —
Jacksonville State @ Troy — — — 65–69 —
Hofstra @ Iona — — — 74–82 —
Yale @ Siena -6.7 134.8 31% 82–54 ✓
Lehigh @ Monmouth +15.3 146.7 87% 75–85 ✓
South Alabama @ Alabama — — — 68–73 —
Saint Louis @ Memphis +7.2 153.9 78% 74–90 ✓
Virginia @ Houston — — — 47–67 —
Southern @ Rice +2.1 141.8 71% 63–81 ✓
Murray State @ Illinois State — — — 77–65 —
Alabama State @ Iowa State +9.0 140.1 85% 60–68 ✓
Tarleton State @ Wichita State — — — 51–65 —
LSU New Orleans @ Northwestern — — — 67–83 —
Chicago State @ Loyola Chicago — — — 56–92 —
Abilene Christian @ UT Arlington — — — 80–71 —
NC State @ Central Connecticut -11.0 138.1 15% 79–65 ✓
High Point @ Notre Dame — — — 61–70 —
North Carolina @ Charleston — — — 94–83 —
American University @ Georgetown — — — 57–79 —
Denver @ UTSA — — — 64–78 —
Seton Hall @ Michigan +3.1 140.7 53% 67–65 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Iowa +24.5 155.6 91% 69–86 ✓
Nevada @ Santa Clara — — — 74–96 —
North Dakota State @ Arizona — — — 45–97 —
BYU @ Oregon +6.0 135.8 71% 81–49 ✗
Jackson State @ California Baptist — — — 64–77 —
George Washington @ Cal State Fullerton — — — 59–74 —
Houston Christian @ Texas A&M — — — 39–73 —
Denver @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi — — — 67–69 —
Central Connecticut @ UMass Lowell +6.9 129.2 76% 53–77 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ UTSA +0.9 124.3 53% 57–60 ✓
Merrimack @ Army — — — 51–74 —
Boston College @ Rhode Island — — — 49–57 —
Long Island University @ UConn — — — 40–93 —

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.