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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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7–2 on winners spread MAE 8.4 47 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Illinois @ Marquette — — — 66–67 —
St. Thomas @ Fordham — — — 78–84 —
The Citadel @ Presbyterian — — — 70–74 —
North Carolina A&T @ South Florida — — — 54–56 —
Weber State @ Duquesne — — — 63–59 —
Coppin State @ UNC Greensboro — — — 48–55 —
Radford @ Virginia Tech — — — 39–65 —
Bryant @ Clemson — — — 70–93 —
Liberty @ LSU — — — 58–74 —
Penn State @ Massachusetts — — — 56–81 —
Holy Cross @ Quinnipiac — — — 68–76 —
Manhattan @ Old Dominion — — — 58–79 —
Robert Morris @ Ohio +17.7 146.5 90% 71–85 ✓
Furman @ Belmont — — — 89–95 —
Lamar @ Georgia Tech — — — 66–75 —
Buffalo @ North Texas — — — 69–66 —
Prairie View A&M @ Texas Tech +17.3 143.1 90% 49–84 ✓
Southern Miss @ TCU — — — 51–83 —
Kansas City @ Missouri — — — 80–66 —
Northwestern State @ SMU — — — 48–95 —
Maine @ Colorado — — — 46–90 —
Navy @ Louisville — — — 60–77 —
Montana @ North Dakota — — — 77–79 —
Central Michigan @ Eastern Illinois +3.9 137.6 45% 62–61 ✗
East Texas A&M @ UTSA — — — 65–62 —
Alcorn State @ Gonzaga +17.7 147.3 89% 57–84 ✓
San Diego @ California — — — 70–75 —
Texas Southern @ Washington +1.3 137.3 80% 65–72 ✓
Grambling @ New Mexico +9.9 138.5 84% 61–86 ✓
Providence @ Wisconsin +9.2 135.8 63% 63–58 ✗
Oregon State @ Tulsa +1.4 130.3 70% 58–64 ✓
Samford @ San Francisco — — — 55–77 —
North Florida @ Arizona State +9.1 132.3 87% 63–72 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Utah — — — 55–86 —
Sacramento State @ Cal Poly — — — 58–57 —
Idaho @ Fresno State — — — 62–69 —
Utah Valley @ Pepperdine — — — 86–74 —
Southern Utah @ Saint Mary's — — — 51–70 —
North Dakota State @ UNLV — — — 62–64 —
Long Beach State @ UCLA — — — 79–100 —
UC Santa Barbara @ Washington State — — — 65–73 —
San José State @ Stanford — — — 62–76 —
UMass Lowell @ Oklahoma State — — — 58–80 —
USC @ Florida Gulf Coast — — — 78–61 —
IU Indianapolis @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi — — — 59–65 —
Miami @ Florida Atlantic — — — 68–66 —
Howard @ Villanova — — — 81–100 —

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.