Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–13 on winners spread MAE 8.7 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ohio @ Old Dominion +0.0 148.4 51% 72–78 ✓
Radford @ High Point +14.3 157.3 88% 77–86 ✓
Merrimack @ Rider -9.4 133.8 16% 73–47 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal State Fullerton +10.2 151.9 86% 66–82 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Wright State +8.4 146.6 82% 68–73 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Iona +7.4 137.2 77% 83–76 ✗
Marist @ Fairfield -2.7 131.7 41% 60–63 ✗
UMass Lowell @ UAlbany +3.9 137.3 66% 89–79 ✗
Illinois @ Michigan State +2.1 142.2 56% 82–85 ✓
Clemson @ California +0.1 134.4 52% 77–55 ✗
Utah State @ Wyoming -5.7 143.5 27% 85–83 ✓
Seattle U @ Portland -1.1 138.2 46% 53–54 ✗
Pacific @ Pepperdine -6.2 135.1 24% 92–59 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Stanford +8.7 144.5 79% 72–95 ✓
San Diego State @ Air Force -16.2 134.3 12% 88–54 ✓
Oral Roberts @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +16.9 147.1 89% 75–92 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana State +7.5 144.7 79% 72–71 ✗
Abilene Christian @ California Baptist +9.8 133.1 84% 63–65 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Jacksonville State -0.1 143.1 53% 58–77 ✗
Florida @ Texas A&M -1.2 163.6 47% 86–67 ✓
Tennessee @ Kentucky +2.1 144.2 59% 71–74 ✓
Tarleton State @ Southern Utah -2.3 148.6 42% 62–59 ✓
San José State @ Colorado State +12.3 137.4 87% 57–65 ✓
San Diego @ Loyola Marymount +5.5 145.9 72% 63–83 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Weber State +7.2 148.1 78% 53–72 ✓
New Mexico State @ UTEP -2.0 132.8 43% 88–91 ✗
Arizona State @ Colorado +2.9 155.2 65% 70–78 ✓
Fresno State @ Nevada +10.3 142.3 84% 59–69 ✓
Washington @ UCLA +5.1 142.2 74% 73–77 ✓
Boise State @ New Mexico +5.8 148.3 73% 91–90 ✗
UC Irvine @ UC Santa Barbara +2.1 140.3 63% 79–84 ✓
Portland State @ Sacramento State -4.0 145.3 32% 74–73 ✓
Houston @ BYU +1.6 148.4 53% 77–66 ✗
San Francisco @ Saint Mary's +12.6 139.3 87% 54–79 ✓
UC San Diego @ Hawai'i +6.4 139.2 75% 67–72 ✓
Tulsa @ South Florida +1.4 163.5 56% 74–80 ✓
USC @ Penn State -6.0 152.9 27% 77–75 ✓
Michigan @ Ohio State -9.9 158.5 19% 82–61 ✓
Texas Tech @ West Virginia -3.4 131.1 35% 70–63 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Furman +11.3 147.9 88% 67–64 ✗
Wichita State @ Tulane -4.2 144.1 35% 75–61 ✓
Charlotte @ Memphis +7.0 142.4 77% 54–77 ✓
UCF @ Cincinnati -0.2 137.2 48% 72–92 ✗
Maryland @ Minnesota +9.7 138.5 82% 67–62 ✗
Rice @ UAB +9.4 150.1 83% 65–71 ✓
Northwestern @ Iowa +11.4 139.5 88% 70–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.