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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–0 on winners
spread MAE 8.5
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Francis
@
Chicago State
|
+3.7 | 143.0 | 65% | 75–80 | ✓ |
Navy
@
Bucknell
|
-7.5 | 134.7 | 21% | 76–60 | ✓ |
Xavier
@
St. John's
|
+15.2 | 154.8 | 89% | 82–87 | ✓ |
Jackson State
@
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
|
+7.0 | 152.0 | 78% | 63–84 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.