Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–16 on winners spread MAE 8.8 56 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UCLA @ Washington State +9.7 133.5 82% 65–77 ✓
Kansas State @ Cincinnati +5.5 140.4 69% 72–74 ✓
Rice @ Wichita State +4.6 140.0 71% 66–87 ✓
Lafayette @ Bucknell +3.2 129.0 64% 50–60 ✓
San Francisco @ Santa Clara +0.0 146.1 49% 62–69 ✓
Columbia @ Pennsylvania +2.5 146.0 63% 72–84 ✓
Robert Morris @ Purdue Fort Wayne +11.4 151.5 86% 65–83 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Wright State +5.1 156.2 71% 88–94 ✓
Cornell @ Princeton +6.7 147.3 76% 77–79 ✓
Harvard @ Yale +11.2 138.8 86% 60–80 ✓
UTEP @ Liberty +8.9 141.2 82% 67–51 ✗
Xavier @ Georgetown -7.4 150.5 26% 98–93 ✓
Clemson @ Notre Dame -5.9 132.2 26% 62–69 ✗
Houston @ Oklahoma -5.5 131.7 25% 87–85 ✓
Michigan State @ Purdue +11.6 147.9 85% 74–80 ✓
Tennessee @ Alabama +3.2 166.2 65% 81–74 ✗
Syracuse @ Louisville -5.2 150.2 26% 82–76 ✓
New Mexico @ Boise State +3.2 149.5 66% 79–89 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Portland -5.3 146.9 33% 60–70 ✗
Denver @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +7.1 153.9 78% 58–83 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ California Baptist +10.3 136.0 85% 52–88 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Sam Houston +8.3 135.9 80% 64–81 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Northridge -2.6 145.9 39% 79–69 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Riverside +0.5 140.3 53% 76–73 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Idaho State +0.9 150.2 51% 81–79 ✗
Ole Miss @ Missouri -2.8 145.5 35% 84–78 ✓
Tarleton State @ Southern Utah -3.5 148.2 32% 88–83 ✓
California @ Utah +10.5 152.2 83% 59–88 ✓
TCU @ BYU +5.4 156.9 72% 75–87 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Southern Indiana +5.9 139.1 73% 70–66 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Utah Tech +0.2 145.8 48% 86–79 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Fullerton +1.0 137.9 54% 70–79 ✓
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's +2.2 141.9 61% 70–57 ✗
San José State @ UNLV +12.9 139.3 88% 50–68 ✓
Pacific @ San Diego +12.2 151.8 88% 69–81 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Grand Canyon +11.7 143.0 87% 58–80 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal Poly -5.7 133.8 24% 68–56 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Irvine +10.9 152.6 84% 61–82 ✓
Seton Hall @ UConn +14.1 144.1 88% 61–91 ✓
Rider @ Canisius +1.1 141.8 56% 65–61 ✗
Illinois State @ Valparaiso -3.6 134.5 32% 72–75 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois +2.7 140.4 63% 82–70 ✗
UIC @ Missouri State +4.6 145.3 70% 59–69 ✓
Indiana @ Maryland +6.3 134.8 74% 83–78 ✗
Manhattan @ Saint Peter's +11.3 131.1 86% 57–89 ✓
Siena @ Quinnipiac +14.8 143.6 89% 57–71 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Niagara +2.2 140.1 60% 91–72 ✗
Iona @ Marist +2.7 129.3 64% 71–64 ✗
East Carolina @ North Texas +9.7 128.3 80% 69–84 ✓
Kansas City @ Oral Roberts +0.1 140.6 50% 71–54 ✗
Bradley @ Drake +5.3 148.7 72% 66–74 ✓
Murray State @ Indiana State +13.4 150.8 88% 77–89 ✓
Michigan @ Ohio State +9.1 145.2 81% 61–84 ✓
Evansville @ Belmont +9.7 151.0 83% 66–83 ✓
UAB @ Memphis +8.1 155.2 79% 87–106 ✓
Rutgers @ Nebraska +8.2 132.2 78% 56–67 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.