Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | WICH -250 RICE +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +21 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -6.8 (+14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -5.2 (+15.8) | 142.0 (+11.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -4.6 (+16.4) | 140.0 (+13.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -4.2 (+16.8) | 140.3 (+12.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -4.7 (+16.3) | 142.7 (+10.3) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | RICE 66 – 64 WICH |
| Mar 7, 2025 | WICH 63 – 59 RICE |
| Mar 13, 2024 | WICH 88 – 81 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-10 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#156) | -2.7 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#184) | -0.57 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#171) | -0.68 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#184) | 0.490 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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