Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Over |
| Money | UNT -500 ECU +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +15 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -11.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.4 (+33.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -10.7 (+4.3) | 128.1 (+24.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -9.7 (+5.3) | 128.3 (+24.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -9.9 (+5.1) | 129.0 (+24.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -9.0 (+6.0) | 129.6 (+23.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | ECU 63 – 59 UNT |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UNT 69 – 60 ECU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UNT 60 – 59 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-9 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#87) | -1.2 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#119) | -0.23 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#106) | -0.18 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#134) | 0.481 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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