Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Summit League · Mabee Center · March 3, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread ORU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money ORU -154 / KC +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total ORU win
Actual KC +17 125 Lost
Massey ORU -1.8 (-18.8)
Massey Totals 146.4 (-21.4)
Bradley-Terry 57%
Weighted B-T 55%
Efficiency Plus ML ORU -1.4 (-18.4) 140.9 (-15.9) 52%
Baseline Tuned ML ORU -0.1 (-17.1) 140.6 (-15.6) 50%
Baseline ML ORU -0.1 (-17.1) 142.8 (-17.8) 49%
Baseline Plus ML KC -0.0 (-17.0) 143.5 (-18.5) 47%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 ORU 8462 KC
Mar 1, 2026 ORU 9470 KC
Feb 13, 2026 ORU 6960 KC
Mar 6, 2025 KC 7356 ORU
Feb 2, 2025 ORU 7367 KC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ORU KC
Overall 12-19 16-16
Conference 5-11 10-6
Home 9-5 10-3
Away 2-13 6-9
Neutral 1-1 0-4
Last 5 0-5 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.1 70.6
Avg Pts Against 77.0 71.4
Massey -4.9 (#263) -3.5 (#228)
Bradley-Terry -1.12 (#288) -0.78 (#260)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.32 (#289) -0.84 (#248)
RPI 0.445 (#292) 0.465 (#256)
Shooting & Four Factors ORU KC
FG% 43.9% 42.3%
3PT% 36.3% 33.9%
REB / G 32.8 35.1
OREB / G 7.3 10.8
AST / TO 1.05 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.3% 49.7%
TOV% 14.2% 18.0%
ORB% 21.0% 31.2%
FT Rate 19.8% 21.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.1% 51.6%
Opp TOV% 14.5% 17.3%
DRB% 68.6% 74.3%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 33.0%

Game Analysis

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