And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
Washington State Cougars
77 – 65
FINAL Conference
UCLA Bruins
Pac-12 Conference · Beasley Coliseum · March 3, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WSU -6.5 Home covered
O/U 127.5 Over
Money WSU -300 / UCLA +225
Model Predictions
Spread Total WSU win
Actual WSU +12 142 Won
Massey WSU -9.9 (+2.1) — —
Massey Totals — 124.8 (+17.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 89% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WSU -9.7 (+2.3) 133.5 (+8.5) 82% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WSU -9.4 (+2.6) 131.3 (+10.7) 79% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WSU -10.7 (+1.3) 134.2 (+7.8) 83% ✓
Baseline ML WSU -9.6 (+2.4) 133.5 (+8.5) 83% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 5, 2023 UCLA 76 – 52 WSU
Dec 31, 2022 UCLA 67 – 66 WSU
Mar 11, 2022 UCLA 75 – 65 WSU
Feb 18, 2022 UCLA 76 – 56 WSU
Feb 12, 2021 WSU 81 – 73 UCLA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WSU UCLA
Overall 25-10 16-17
Conference 14-6 10-10
Home 15-2 9-7
Away 6-4 5-6
Neutral 4-4 1-4
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.5 65.7
Avg Pts Against 66.7 66.0
Massey 11.7 (#43) 5.1 (#101)
Bradley-Terry 2.11 (#30) 0.60 (#120)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.35 (#40) 0.86 (#118)
RPI 0.586 (#42) 0.507 (#159)
Shooting & Four Factors WSU UCLA
FG% 47.1% 41.3%
3PT% 35.2% 31.5%
REB / G 37.4 33.8
OREB / G 10.8 10.4
AST / TO 1.19 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.6% 45.9%
TOV% 15.8% 16.3%
ORB% 31.9% 30.7%
FT Rate 22.6% 26.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.6% 50.0%
Opp TOV% 15.8% 18.5%
DRB% 74.5% 72.8%
Opp FT Rate 24.8% 24.7%

Game Analysis

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