We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Washington State Cougars
77 65
FINAL Conference
UCLA Bruins
Pac-12 Conference · Beasley Coliseum · March 3, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WSU -6.5 Home covered
O/U 127.5 Over
Money WSU -300 / UCLA +225
Model Predictions
Spread Total WSU win
Actual WSU +12 142 Won
Massey WSU -9.9 (+2.1)
Massey Totals 124.8 (+17.2)
Bradley-Terry 89%
Weighted B-T 90%
Efficiency Plus ML WSU -9.4 (+2.6) 131.3 (+10.7) 79%
Baseline Tuned ML WSU -9.7 (+2.3) 133.5 (+8.5) 82%
Baseline ML WSU -9.6 (+2.4) 133.5 (+8.5) 83%
Baseline Plus ML WSU -10.7 (+1.3) 134.2 (+7.8) 83%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 5, 2023 UCLA 7652 WSU
Dec 31, 2022 UCLA 6766 WSU
Mar 11, 2022 UCLA 7565 WSU
Feb 18, 2022 UCLA 7656 WSU
Feb 12, 2021 WSU 8173 UCLA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WSU UCLA
Overall 25-10 16-17
Conference 14-6 10-10
Home 15-2 9-7
Away 6-4 5-6
Neutral 4-4 1-4
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.5 65.7
Avg Pts Against 66.7 66.0
Massey 11.7 (#43) 5.1 (#101)
Bradley-Terry 2.11 (#30) 0.60 (#120)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.35 (#40) 0.86 (#118)
RPI 0.586 (#42) 0.507 (#159)
Shooting & Four Factors WSU UCLA
FG% 47.1% 41.3%
3PT% 35.2% 31.5%
REB / G 37.4 33.8
OREB / G 10.8 10.4
AST / TO 1.19 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.6% 45.9%
TOV% 15.8% 16.3%
ORB% 31.9% 30.7%
FT Rate 22.6% 26.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.6% 50.0%
Opp TOV% 15.8% 18.5%
DRB% 74.5% 72.8%
Opp FT Rate 24.8% 24.7%

Game Analysis

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