Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
37–12 on winners spread MAE 10.1 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Washington @ Oregon State -3.3 151.4 39% 67–55 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma +11.8 141.0 87% 62–66 ✓
Lafayette @ Lehigh +1.9 129.8 58% 90–94 ✓
Illinois State @ Southern Illinois +9.6 131.6 81% 66–69 ✓
Siena @ Manhattan +7.8 133.7 78% 68–63 ✗
Marist @ Rider +1.2 131.9 56% 77–62 ✗
The Citadel @ Wofford +4.7 141.5 71% 64–77 ✓
Oakland @ Wright State +1.0 161.6 59% 74–60 ✗
Maine @ New Hampshire +4.2 138.9 68% 57–60 ✓
Nicholls @ Lamar +4.6 151.2 69% 56–75 ✓
Bellarmine @ Florida Gulf Coast +5.2 138.7 69% 52–63 ✓
Cal Poly @ Long Beach State +11.1 141.6 87% 68–77 ✓
Idaho @ Eastern Washington +11.3 143.5 87% 79–87 ✓
Indiana @ Purdue +17.1 154.6 90% 59–79 ✓
Tennessee @ Texas A&M -0.9 138.9 43% 69–85 ✗
UNLV @ New Mexico +12.2 153.7 87% 80–77 ✗
Arizona State @ Utah +11.4 145.8 86% 85–77 ✗
Virginia @ Florida State +0.1 131.7 46% 80–76 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Long Island University -3.0 145.8 33% 58–75 ✗
Jackson State @ Mississippi Valley State -11.7 134.9 14% 77–69 ✓
Southern Utah @ Grand Canyon +13.0 149.0 88% 65–94 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Liberty +0.4 137.9 52% 62–65 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Riverside -8.9 133.8 18% 78–88 ✗
Portland State @ Idaho State +2.1 141.5 61% 65–68 ✓
Mississippi State @ Missouri -5.1 139.7 29% 75–51 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Portland -17.7 135.5 13% 76–51 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Southern Indiana -3.2 135.6 33% 67–84 ✗
Pepperdine @ Loyola Marymount +5.0 144.1 72% 72–63 ✗
New Mexico State @ UTEP +4.0 136.8 66% 49–74 ✓
Sacramento State @ Weber State +13.2 132.7 87% 53–58 ✓
Arizona @ Colorado -2.5 164.8 41% 99–79 ✓
Kansas State @ BYU +11.5 144.4 86% 66–72 ✓
Boise State @ Utah State +5.3 147.6 72% 61–80 ✓
USC @ Stanford +3.7 150.3 68% 68–99 ✓
Santa Clara @ San Francisco +7.5 148.1 79% 70–71 ✓
San Diego @ Pacific -7.9 143.7 22% 89–84 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Santa Barbara +4.8 145.9 70% 82–74 ✗
UC Davis @ Hawai'i +1.2 137.9 57% 70–87 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Wichita State -7.0 146.5 23% 95–82 ✓
Seton Hall @ Villanova +5.1 136.3 69% 54–80 ✓
Penn State @ Northwestern +6.4 148.7 78% 63–68 ✓
UAB @ Tulsa -0.2 151.5 48% 70–63 ✓
Charlotte @ Temple -5.7 135.1 25% 73–70 ✓
North Texas @ SMU +6.4 133.3 73% 68–71 ✓
Tulane @ Memphis +6.6 161.7 75% 78–90 ✓
Rhode Island @ Massachusetts +10.8 151.2 84% 79–81 ✓
Bowling Green @ Louisiana +8.1 146.4 80% 60–86 ✓
Minnesota @ Iowa +5.2 148.2 70% 85–90 ✓
Northern Iowa @ UIC +0.2 136.5 50% 65–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.