Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | VILL -275 HALL +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +26 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -6.1 (+19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -5.4 (+20.6) | 136.0 (-2.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -5.1 (+20.9) | 136.3 (-2.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -5.0 (+21.0) | 137.4 (-3.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -5.1 (+20.9) | 135.2 (-1.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | VILL 72 – 60 HALL |
| Dec 24, 2025 | VILL 64 – 56 HALL |
| Mar 13, 2025 | VILL 67 – 55 HALL |
| Feb 27, 2025 | VILL 59 – 54 HALL |
| Dec 18, 2024 | VILL 79 – 67 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 10-6 | 17-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#42) | 8.9 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#88) | 1.49 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#75) | 1.94 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#83) | 0.554 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 38.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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