Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
| Money | LEH -170 LAF +143 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +4 | 184 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -4.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (+49.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -1.9 (+2.1) | 132.4 (+51.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -1.9 (+2.1) | 129.8 (+54.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -2.0 (+2.0) | 130.7 (+53.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -2.1 (+1.9) | 134.1 (+49.9) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LEH 78 – 69 LAF |
| Jan 25, 2026 | LEH 64 – 59 LAF |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAF 78 – 70 LEH |
| Jan 26, 2025 | LEH 86 – 47 LAF |
| Mar 8, 2024 | LEH 76 – 61 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 5-10 |
| Away | 8-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 62.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#277) | -7.6 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.54 (#350) | -1.37 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.80 (#339) | -1.75 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#323) | 0.455 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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