The name is Big Daddy, yes big not little. "Ain't No Half Steppin'" - Big Daddy Kane
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–16 on winners spread MAE 8.8 56 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UCLA @ Washington State +9.6 133.5 83% 65–77 ✓
Kansas State @ Cincinnati +5.4 141.4 71% 72–74 ✓
Rice @ Wichita State +4.2 140.3 73% 66–87 ✓
Lafayette @ Bucknell +3.9 129.8 64% 50–60 ✓
San Francisco @ Santa Clara -0.4 146.4 54% 62–69 ✗
Columbia @ Pennsylvania +2.4 146.8 63% 72–84 ✓
Robert Morris @ Purdue Fort Wayne +11.3 152.4 87% 65–83 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Wright State +4.5 159.0 68% 88–94 ✓
Cornell @ Princeton +6.4 149.1 76% 77–79 ✓
Harvard @ Yale +11.6 137.9 86% 60–80 ✓
UTEP @ Liberty +8.9 142.6 81% 67–51 ✗
Xavier @ Georgetown -7.5 151.2 26% 98–93 ✓
Clemson @ Notre Dame -5.9 133.0 31% 62–69 ✗
Houston @ Oklahoma -4.9 134.6 23% 87–85 ✓
Michigan State @ Purdue +10.9 149.3 86% 74–80 ✓
Tennessee @ Alabama +4.1 165.4 64% 81–74 ✗
Syracuse @ Louisville -5.4 152.0 26% 82–76 ✓
New Mexico @ Boise State +3.1 150.6 73% 79–89 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Portland -4.6 147.4 36% 60–70 ✗
Denver @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +7.1 154.0 79% 58–83 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ California Baptist +9.9 137.0 85% 52–88 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Sam Houston +8.1 136.6 79% 64–81 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Northridge -3.0 145.6 41% 79–69 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Riverside +0.2 142.8 52% 76–73 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Idaho State +0.3 153.3 48% 81–79 ✗
Ole Miss @ Missouri -2.2 145.8 36% 84–78 ✓
Tarleton State @ Southern Utah -3.7 150.0 34% 88–83 ✓
California @ Utah +10.5 154.1 83% 59–88 ✓
TCU @ BYU +5.5 156.9 76% 75–87 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Southern Indiana +5.7 140.6 65% 70–66 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Utah Tech -0.2 146.8 44% 86–79 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Fullerton +0.8 139.3 53% 70–79 ✓
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's +2.4 143.9 50% 70–57 ✗
San José State @ UNLV +12.9 139.8 88% 50–68 ✓
Pacific @ San Diego +11.9 152.9 89% 69–81 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Grand Canyon +11.9 142.2 87% 58–80 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal Poly -5.8 134.7 25% 68–56 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Irvine +10.7 153.2 84% 61–82 ✓
Seton Hall @ UConn +14.0 144.7 89% 61–91 ✓
Rider @ Canisius +1.0 143.9 50% 65–61 ✗
Illinois State @ Valparaiso -4.1 136.0 35% 72–75 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois +3.1 142.9 65% 82–70 ✗
UIC @ Missouri State +4.4 147.2 73% 59–69 ✓
Indiana @ Maryland +7.1 136.2 73% 83–78 ✗
Manhattan @ Saint Peter's +11.3 130.4 87% 57–89 ✓
Siena @ Quinnipiac +15.2 144.9 90% 57–71 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Niagara +1.6 141.6 59% 91–72 ✗
Iona @ Marist +3.4 130.7 64% 71–64 ✗
East Carolina @ North Texas +9.9 129.0 81% 69–84 ✓
Kansas City @ Oral Roberts +0.1 142.8 49% 71–54 ✗
Bradley @ Drake +5.1 149.0 76% 66–74 ✓
Murray State @ Indiana State +13.4 151.0 88% 77–89 ✓
Michigan @ Ohio State +9.2 145.8 84% 61–84 ✓
Evansville @ Belmont +9.4 153.0 84% 66–83 ✓
UAB @ Memphis +8.0 155.2 81% 87–106 ✓
Rutgers @ Nebraska +7.9 133.8 78% 56–67 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.