I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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43–13 on winners spread MAE 8.8 56 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Marshall @ Louisiana Tech +7.7 150.1 80% 67–77 ✓
San José State @ Fresno State +12.9 127.3 87% 67–69 ✓
West Virginia @ Kansas State +0.4 141.2 52% 73–67 ✗
Hartford @ UMBC +4.9 155.8 74% 60–80 ✓
Binghamton @ Vermont +18.8 137.8 90% 42–74 ✓
Clemson @ Virginia Tech +2.5 132.2 60% 75–76 ✓
Rider @ Iona +9.4 138.9 82% 71–70 ✗
Navy @ Colgate +5.7 134.4 76% 58–74 ✓
DePaul @ St. John's +5.9 160.1 72% 73–92 ✓
Georgia @ Vanderbilt +9.4 142.8 81% 51–86 ✓
McNeese @ Northwestern State -1.2 156.6 37% 80–67 ✓
Coppin State @ Howard +4.8 146.9 71% 59–57 ✗
Minnesota @ Penn State +1.7 131.4 59% 51–60 ✓
Old Dominion @ UTEP +0.5 131.2 53% 64–74 ✓
California @ Washington State +7.1 132.7 78% 59–66 ✓
California Baptist @ Sam Houston +2.3 132.1 59% 35–65 ✓
Southern Miss @ Florida Atlantic +12.4 141.4 86% 59–86 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Alcorn State +3.1 143.4 67% 63–64 ✓
Fairfield @ Saint Peter's +4.0 127.9 70% 63–77 ✓
Louisville @ Virginia +4.4 128.2 74% 50–51 ✓
Georgetown @ Seton Hall +10.2 143.0 85% 53–57 ✓
Utah @ Washington +0.2 141.8 54% 70–82 ✓
Utah Valley @ Abilene Christian -1.2 136.2 50% 74–82 ✗
Central Michigan @ Toledo +17.4 147.1 90% 71–72 ✓
Indiana @ Michigan +0.4 140.9 54% 74–69 ✗
Syracuse @ Duke +8.8 156.9 84% 79–88 ✓
Butler @ Providence +7.6 137.2 78% 61–65 ✓
Florida @ Texas A&M -0.6 140.5 50% 80–83 ✗
George Mason @ Fordham -3.3 133.1 36% 49–54 ✗
TCU @ Texas +3.1 129.4 57% 65–60 ✗
East Carolina @ Cincinnati +4.4 135.2 67% 63–74 ✓
Buffalo @ Akron -1.2 143.8 51% 68–70 ✗
Northwestern @ Iowa +7.1 150.6 78% 76–112 ✓
Sacramento State @ Montana State +8.3 138.1 79% 61–83 ✓
La Salle @ Saint Louis +9.9 140.2 84% 51–71 ✓
Boston College @ Miami +6.2 144.1 76% 69–71 ✓
Marquette @ Creighton -1.8 142.5 40% 63–74 ✗
Stanford @ Arizona +14.9 147.0 87% 80–84 ✓
Nevada @ Boise State +7.2 135.0 79% 69–71 ✓
Grambling @ Southern +6.0 136.6 71% 60–58 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ Long Beach State +5.9 141.1 76% 61–72 ✓
Missouri @ LSU +12.1 135.8 86% 68–76 ✓
West Virginia @ Kansas +11.8 152.6 87% 63–87 ✓
Tulsa @ Wichita State +5.7 137.0 72% 73–67 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Kent State +6.8 142.7 75% 75–85 ✓
Montana @ Weber State +3.0 143.2 64% 56–68 ✓
Oregon @ Colorado +1.0 142.9 57% 69–80 ✓
UNLV @ Wyoming +2.4 135.2 60% 56–59 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Irvine +0.3 130.7 48% 78–69 ✗
Mississippi State @ South Carolina -2.1 138.5 38% 73–51 ✓
Houston Christian @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +7.3 146.5 71% 60–75 ✓
South Carolina State @ Morgan State +1.3 139.9 62% 77–80 ✓
Massachusetts @ George Washington -1.5 152.2 40% 99–88 ✓
Rice @ North Texas +9.2 129.3 83% 50–68 ✓
Ball State @ Ohio +8.2 145.5 79% 67–77 ✓
Maryland @ Michigan State +3.1 141.5 63% 72–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.