The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–17 on winners spread MAE 7.4 47 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oklahoma @ Baylor +7.4 133.5 74% 72–67 ✗
St. John's @ Villanova +7.2 152.1 79% 65–66 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky -1.6 144.9 42% 59–57 ✓
South Florida @ UCF +7.7 128.8 80% 58–60 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Notre Dame -1.1 135.8 48% 87–80 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Siena +0.6 139.4 53% 77–71 ✗
Portland State @ Southern Utah +5.3 146.9 68% 77–65 ✗
McNeese @ LSU New Orleans +4.0 156.5 67% 78–82 ✓
Rhode Island @ Richmond +3.2 134.8 65% 59–64 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Alabama +3.1 151.1 64% 82–76 ✗
Washington State @ UCLA +6.4 140.2 75% 65–75 ✓
Utah State @ Colorado State +0.7 139.3 58% 51–53 ✓
UTEP @ Middle Tennessee +3.6 134.0 66% 59–66 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ North Carolina Central -0.1 133.9 51% 56–68 ✗
UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton +2.0 134.8 59% 55–73 ✓
Sam Houston @ Grand Canyon +4.3 128.7 70% 66–71 ✓
Penn State @ Ohio State +4.6 133.6 71% 71–68 ✗
Iowa State @ Texas Tech +6.3 129.0 71% 41–72 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UAB +5.9 142.8 72% 66–80 ✓
Niagara @ Monmouth +1.4 132.5 56% 58–61 ✓
Virginia @ North Carolina +3.6 131.3 65% 43–63 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Florida A&M +1.5 128.3 54% 61–56 ✗
Seton Hall @ UConn +2.1 134.3 59% 52–62 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado +0.4 154.8 51% 67–68 ✓
Fresno State @ San Diego State +3.0 120.2 66% 46–53 ✓
UC Riverside @ Hawai'i -0.3 132.3 47% 67–68 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Stephen F. Austin +1.4 142.2 52% 76–62 ✗
Washington @ USC +5.6 144.9 70% 61–65 ✓
Indiana @ Illinois +2.7 139.3 59% 65–63 ✗
Texas A&M @ Auburn +7.0 142.3 76% 67–62 ✗
Fordham @ Davidson +9.0 135.5 83% 56–74 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ North Texas +4.0 123.1 69% 42–36 ✗
Cincinnati @ Houston +12.3 133.2 86% 56–69 ✓
LSU @ Arkansas -1.8 139.7 41% 67–79 ✗
Iowa @ Rutgers -7.6 143.6 22% 84–74 ✓
Saint Louis @ St. Bonaventure -2.0 137.9 41% 57–56 ✓
UAB @ Middle Tennessee -4.4 138.6 33% 102–98 ✓
Tulane @ Temple -0.9 140.3 41% 69–60 ✓
Grambling @ Texas Southern +5.9 132.2 74% 54–73 ✓
Akron @ Toledo +5.3 144.2 72% 70–62 ✗
Mississippi State @ Tennessee +6.8 133.2 76% 59–72 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls +2.5 147.0 61% 71–64 ✗
Morgan State @ Norfolk State +6.8 142.0 75% 63–72 ✓
Rider @ Monmouth +4.4 132.7 67% 68–72 ✓
Massachusetts @ Dayton +9.6 144.3 83% 72–75 ✓
Creighton @ Providence +3.4 135.3 63% 85–58 ✗
Michigan State @ Wisconsin +0.9 137.5 54% 69–63 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.