Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +7 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -3.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -2.1 (+4.9) | 132.6 (-7.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -3.6 (+3.4) | 134.2 (-9.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -3.6 (+3.4) | 134.0 (-9.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -3.2 (+3.8) | 134.2 (-9.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MTSU 77 – 67 UTEP |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UTEP 83 – 80 MTSU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MTSU 76 – 75 UTEP |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MTSU 71 – 68 UTEP |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MTSU 96 – 90 UTEP |
Game Analysis
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