Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -340 MSST +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +13 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -7.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -6.2 (+6.8) | 131.3 (-0.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -7.1 (+5.9) | 134.4 (-3.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -6.8 (+6.2) | 133.2 (-2.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -5.8 (+7.2) | 134.6 (-3.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | TENN 73 – 64 MSST |
| Jan 22, 2025 | TENN 68 – 56 MSST |
| Mar 15, 2024 | MSST 73 – 56 TENN |
| Jan 11, 2024 | MSST 77 – 72 TENN |
| Jan 18, 2023 | TENN 70 – 59 MSST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-0 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 17.7 (#9) | 10.4 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.14 (#10) | 1.49 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.79 (#12) | 1.81 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#8) | 0.547 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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